Possible scenario
Bill Is Softened
25% Chance
Industry lobbying and technical concerns push Illinois to delay, reduce, or further narrow the proposal before final passage. This outcome is plausible because state tax administrators may struggle to define taxable crypto transactions without overreaching into noncustodial activity.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+0.6%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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