Possible scenario
Short production disruption
30% Chance
Negotiations continue, but the walkout interrupts operations for several days before a deal is reached. Copper prices stay supported because inventories are tight and futures recently hit record highs.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.8%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- FCX+2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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