Possible scenario
Prolonged strike risk
20% Chance
Talks stall and the strike continues long enough to threaten material output losses. Because Escondida is one of the world's largest copper mines, traders price in a more serious supply shock.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.6%
- Industrials -1.0%
- Technology -0.6%
- Utilities -0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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