Possible scenario
Stay Remains In Place
38% Chance
The federal court keeps the deportation halt in place while it reviews the shooting, medical condition, and due-process issues. This is the most likely path because judges often preserve the status quo after a serious law-enforcement injury and disputed removal timing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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