Possible scenario
Regulatory Fight Refocuses
18% Chance
Smith uses her interim role to refocus the association on litigation and agency rulemaking, including disputes with the SEC over dealer definitions and custody obligations. This outcome is plausible because the group's 2024 lawsuit against the SEC remains a template for industry resistance.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+1.1%
- GLXY+0.7%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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