Possible scenario
Race Remains Stable
22% Chance
Despite the attention around the insult exchange, the Senate race remains close and structurally unchanged. Voters are already polarized, and neither campaign gains a durable advantage from another round of personal attacks.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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