Possible scenario
Singapore Pursues Cases
35% Chance
Singapore moves from public warnings to legal action, using satellite data and corporate supply-chain evidence to pursue firms linked to Indonesian fires. This is plausible because the haze has worsened for weeks, Malaysia is also under strain, and Greenpeace has already identified corporate links.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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