Possible scenario
RFK Agenda Dominates
18% Chance
RFK Jr. uses the task force to push reviews of vaccines, endocrine-disrupting chemicals, ultra-processed foods, and pharmaceutical safety in pregnancy. That raises regulatory uncertainty for pharma and some consumer staples while benefiting alternative-health and diagnostic themes.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.2%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- MRNA-2.4%
- PFE-0.7%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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