Possible scenario
Maryland Backlash Builds
18% Chance
Republicans and some Maryland Democrats portray Moore as more focused on Washington than Annapolis. The issue is unlikely to flip the state by itself, but it could narrow margins and complicate Moore's mandate.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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