Possible scenario
Early Presidential Positioning
25% Chance
Moore's refusal is read as deliberate positioning for the 2028 Democratic presidential race. With Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom already weighing bids, Moore tests whether his biography and executive record can create a viable national lane.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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