Possible scenario
Disease Concerns Widen
15% Chance
Additional testing suggests the initial case may not be fully isolated, forcing Brazil to broaden movement controls and sanitary inspections. This would be the most disruptive food-sector outcome, though still not a systemic macro event.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -1.0%
Tickers
- JBS-5.2%
- TSN+2.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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