Possible scenario
Case Remains Local
42% Chance
The indictment is treated as a criminal case involving one USPS employee rather than evidence of a coordinated scheme. Utah election officials, USPS inspectors, and the Justice Department emphasize chain-of-custody remedies and ballot-curing procedures before certification.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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