Possible scenario
Rates And Won Pressure
20% Chance
The July BOK rate hike and renewed equity outflows keep investors focused on the won, domestic funding conditions, and household-credit sensitivity. If currency pressure persists, Korean equities face a difficult mix of tighter policy risk and weaker foreign inflows.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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