Possible scenario
Legal Backlash Limits
18% Chance
Congress, civil-liberties groups, and some state officials challenge the boundaries between military cyber operations and domestic election activity. This scenario tempers contractor upside and delays implementation, but it is unlikely to create a broad market shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Business Services -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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