Possible scenario
Storm Disruption Deepens
20% Chance
A less likely but important scenario is that Isaias causes longer-lasting offshore, port, or pipeline disruption. In that case, a 4 million barrel SPR swap looks too small to fully offset lost production and disrupted refinery supply.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.5%
Tickers
- CVX+0.8%
- +0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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