Possible scenario
El-Sayed Backlash Benefit
30% Chance
El-Sayed successfully turns Rogers' attack into evidence that Republicans are relying on mockery instead of policy. Democratic donors, progressive groups, and younger voters respond strongly, reinforcing his narrow advantage after the first debate.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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