Possible scenario
Negotiated Transition
20% Chance
A compromise outcome is that Kotlikoff neither resigns immediately nor fully survives the crisis. Trustees, faculty leaders, and senior administrators agree on a transition timetable that allows Cornell to launch a presidential search while avoiding a sudden vacancy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.