Possible scenario
Kotlikoff Survives
25% Chance
The Board of Trustees could decide that removing Kotlikoff during an active sexual-assault controversy would deepen instability and expose the university to further institutional risk. In this scenario, Kotlikoff remains president but accepts constraints, outside oversight, and accelerated reforms.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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