Possible scenario
Jackson Contains Damage
27% Chance
Jackson moves quickly to apologize, lowers the temperature, and argues the debate moment was inappropriate but isolated. This is plausible because campaigns often try to neutralize personal-conduct stories before they become sustained voter concerns.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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