Possible scenario
Army Reopens Corridor
35% Chance
Forces aligned with Yemen's internationally recognized government regain enough ground south of Taiz to restore intermittent traffic on the Taiz-Aden road. The Houthis keep pressure from Al-Hawban and eastern approaches, but the immediate siege threat eases because supply convoys can again reach the city.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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