Possible scenario
Regulatory Escalation
27% Chance
Christian leaders translate the challenge into political pressure in Washington, Brussels, and several U.S. states. Lawmakers focus less on whether AI is conscious and more on consumer deception, religious freedom, education use, and whether companies can market systems as AGI or conscious.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Business Services -0.7%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.7%
- GOOG-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.