Possible scenario
Rules Hit Concentrated Names
15% Chance
The policy response succeeds in reducing downgrade risk but shifts selling pressure onto the companies most exposed to concentration and free-float constraints. The Jakarta Composite is mixed rather than strongly directional, with rotation into liquid financials.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.4%
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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