Possible scenario
House Delays Action
28% Chance
The Senate text is real but the House does not quickly align with it. Republican factions, progressive Democrats, and committee chairs demand changes, pushing final action into a lame-duck window or the next session.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.7%
- Energy -0.6%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Tickers
- NEE-1.3%
- KMI-1.2%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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