Possible scenario
Coalition Fractures
20% Chance
The dispute over the White House deal terms widens after the text is released. Environmental-justice provisions, state authority, and limits on court challenges become sticking points, leaving the bill short of the 60 votes needed in the Senate.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.2%
- Energy -1.1%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.7%
- Industrials -0.3%
Tickers
- WMB-2.0%
- NEE-1.8%
- -1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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