Possible scenario
Bill Clears Congress
42% Chance
The agreement on text holds, Senate leaders keep both parties engaged, and the bill moves through the Senate with a sizable bipartisan vote. House leadership then accepts most of the package, producing the first major permitting statute since the 2023 NEPA changes.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.7%
- Non-Energy Materials +1.1%
- Utilities +1.0%
- Industrials +0.7%
Tickers
- KMI+3.4%
- WMB+3.4%
- +2.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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