Possible scenario
Range-Bound Data Wait
25% Chance
Williams's remarks do not decisively change the policy outlook because investors are waiting for inflation and labor data. Trading stays choppy but contained, with limited cross-asset conviction.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Utilities -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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