Possible scenario
Collateral performance tested
20% Chance
The key practical question is whether USDS performs well as loan collateral during normal redemptions and crypto-market volatility. A clean outcome strengthens the case for USDS, while liquidity or peg concerns would quickly limit institutional adoption.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- GLXY-0.6%
- COIN-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.