Possible scenario
Managed Status Quo
30% Chance
The meeting is symbolically important but produces no immediate change in sanctions, oil licenses, or diplomatic recognition. Both sides keep communication channels open, but Washington avoids a major concession before Rodriguez consolidates domestic authority in Caracas.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Tickers
- CVX+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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