Government Line Holds

Forces aligned with Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council, including Taiz-axis units and southern-backed formations, halt the Houthi advance before the final route is severed. This scenario is plausible because Al-Turbah is strategically obvious, giving Aden-based commanders an incentive to rush reinforcements and artillery support.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.