Possible scenario
Livestream Gets Restricted
30% Chance
The administration keeps the execution plan but scales back the livestream after objections from victims' families, civil liberties groups, military lawyers, and some Republican lawmakers. The most likely compromise is a restricted or delayed feed rather than full cancellation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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