Possible scenario
Execution Proceeds Publicly
45% Chance
The Army and Pentagon maintain the execution date and proceed with a controlled livestream, arguing that transparency and presidential authorization support the plan. Courts decline to intervene quickly enough to stop the broadcast or execution.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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