Possible scenario
China autonomy accelerates
20% Chance
Chinese AI firms view U.S. lobbying reversals as unreliable and keep shifting training and inference work toward Huawei and domestic foundries. OpenAI's move reinforces the perception that Washington's controls have encouraged a parallel China AI hardware stack.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- NVDA-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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