Possible scenario
Warning Fades Quickly
35% Chance
Investors treat Michael Burry’s warning as another high-profile bearish call rather than a new catalyst. Dip-buying in AI and mega-cap technology continues because earnings momentum, buybacks, and Fed easing expectations remain supportive.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.4%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.