Possible scenario
AI Pullback Broadens
30% Chance
Burry’s crash warning lands on an already crowded AI trade, prompting profit-taking in the Nasdaq’s biggest winners. The move is not a systemic crash, but stretched positioning makes semiconductor and software names vulnerable over the next session or two.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Finance -0.6%
- Utilities
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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