Possible scenario
Treasury Holds Line
30% Chance
Treasury acknowledges the Blockchain Association's comments but leaves the main rule architecture intact. The agency prioritizes redemption certainty, Treasury-bill liquidity, and anti-run protections after the TerraUSD collapse and the 2023 USDC depeg.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- CRCL-2.6%
- -1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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