Possible scenario
Power Bottleneck Outcome
20% Chance
The main execution risk is no longer customer demand but power, cooling, transmission, and interconnection timing. A one-gigawatt-class AI lease forces investors to reassess utilities, electrical equipment, and data-center construction capacity.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.5%
- Industrials +0.3%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- GEV+1.4%
- NVDA-0.4%
- VRT+0.4%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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