Possible scenario
Regulatory Stalemate Persists
25% Chance
Congress remains split after the CLARITY Act rejection, while the CFTC proposal moves slowly through comments and legal review. U.S. crypto firms receive incremental clarity but no durable statutory protection for decentralized or offshore-linked market structures.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.7%
- -1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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