Possible scenario
Crypto Deleveraging Returns
20% Chance
The Fed backdrop remains less threatening, but crypto-specific leverage rebuilds too quickly after the rebound above $82,000. A renewed liquidation wave drives short-term volatility independent of a major rates move.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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