Possible scenario
Administration presses case
30% Chance
DOJ and DHS may argue that the 2019 review was incomplete or that newer evidence justifies reopening the matter. This would prolong the confrontation, but the WaPo report raises the evidentiary burden and makes a clean government win less likely.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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