Possible scenario
Oversight Escalates
30% Chance
Congressional Democrats, watchdog groups, and the Government Accountability Office press the administration on whether the campaign violates federal publicity, propaganda, or appropriations restrictions. This scenario keeps the issue alive and increases the odds of temporary spending freezes or document production demands.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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