Possible scenario
Postoperative Complications
12% Chance
The pope experiences a manageable but concerning post-surgical setback such as infection, reduced oxygenation, or fluid accumulation. The prognosis may remain favorable, but the Vatican’s communications become more frequent and cautious.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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