Possible scenario
Limited Immunity Compromise
27% Chance
After the failed 8-7 vote, Republicans and Democrats look for a narrower arrangement that protects the criminal case while allowing some testimony. This would give both sides a procedural off-ramp from a prolonged stalemate.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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