Possible scenario
Scandal Stays Salient
26% Chance
Angela Paxton's endorsement does not fully close the issue because the affair allegations are tied to the 2023 impeachment narrative and questions about judgment. Democrats and anti-Paxton Republicans continue using the claims to target suburban moderates and conservative women.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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