Possible scenario
GOP Base Consolidates
42% Chance
Angela Paxton's public backing helps Ken Paxton frame the adultery claims as old, politically motivated attacks tied to his 2023 impeachment fight. Republican voters largely stay aligned behind the Texas GOP nominee, limiting Democratic gains.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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