Possible scenario
Compensation Fight Escalates
25% Chance
Victims, insurers, and Ledger move into a dispute over whether the company must reimburse stolen assets or only replace compromised devices. The outcome turns on whether Ledger's reseller controls are judged negligent after the secret CryptoBilis acquisition.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.