Possible scenario
Shooting Investigation Dominates
20% Chance
The next phase may center less on procurement and more on whether the ICE agent’s use of force was lawful. The missing body camera becomes an evidentiary problem, especially if witness accounts, medical records, and ICE statements diverge.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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