Possible scenario
Administration Holds Line
25% Chance
The administration states that the East Potomac redesign remains federal policy and argues that Trump's post is consistent with prior National Park Service authority. This keeps the dispute alive and increases the odds of a more restrictive order from Judge Reyes.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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