Possible scenario
Vote Delayed
15% Chance
A parliamentary committee slows the process despite majority support, citing legal, environmental, or sovereignty questions. The pact is not rejected, but Washington and Copenhagen face a less certain timetable.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.4%
- Business Services -0.1%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- -0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.