Possible scenario
Strict Enforcement Shock
20% Chance
The administration applies the mandate aggressively, tying grid interconnection approvals and federal permitting to proof of dedicated generation and dividend payments. This creates a near-term cost shock for hyperscalers and data-center landlords, especially in PJM, ERCOT, and Northern Virginia.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.7%
- Industrials +1.2%
- Energy +0.4%
- Utilities +0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-3.1%
- AMZN-2.8%
- -2.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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