Possible scenario
Immigration Debate Intensifies
25% Chance
Because DHS identified the suspects as illegal border crossers, the case is likely to remain part of New York and national immigration-security debate. Republican officials, police unions, and some federal agencies use the attack to argue for tougher enforcement, while city officials try to keep focus on prosecution.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.